Point Spread Probability Winning
- More than a third of Americans believe winning the lottery is the only way they will ever retire comfortably. But the odds of winning either the Powerball or Mega Millions are roughly 1 in 292.2 million and 1 in 302.5 million, respectively.
- The odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot is 302,575,350 to 1. That represents a single ticket out of a possible 300+ million possible winning combinations. That's huge number, no doubt. And unless you have the $600 million it would take for you to buy every possible number combination, then Mega Millions odds aren't really going to work in.
- President Trump’s odds of winning the election have massively shortened on UK betting markets, as more evidence of fraud and lawsuits emerge. On Saturday, the media prematurely declared that Biden had won the presidential election.
Odds correlate to the probability of a team winning, which is the implied probability. A -140 favorite has about a 58.34% chance of winning, while a +120 underdog has a 45.45% chance. Did you notice those percentages add up to more than 100%? That’s because of the vig, which is a sportsbook’s cut for facilitating your bet.
What are your odds of winning a prize with Premium Bonds following the latest prize rate cut? Read on to see your chances of bagging each prize in the monthly draw, depending on how much you have invested.
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Your Premium Bonds winning odds
Your odds of winning anything with your Premium Bond holdings have just gotten a lot longer.
That's because the Premium Bond prize rate has been cut from 1.4% to just 1%.
As a result, each individual £1 bond now has a one-in-34,500 chance of winning any prize, compared to one-in-24,500 in the November draw (the last before the cut).
The next section takes a look at your latest odds of bagging each of the various Premium Bond prizes, but first, make sure you check our regularly updated Premium Bond winners article to find out if you've already won big.
The odds of winning each prize in the Premium Bonds draw
Here’s how prizes were distributed in the December 2020 draw (the distribution of prizes changes each month to keep the odds of winning any prize the same) along with what the odds were of winning each prize for a holding of a single £1 bond.
Since we last updated this article with the September draw odds, it’s become more difficult to bag the top prize.
The odds are also worse compared to September, particularly as the number of prizes awarded has been significantly cut.
Prize value | No. of prizes | Odds of winning with a £1 bond |
£1,000,000 | 2 | 1 in 49.48 billion |
£100,000 | 4 | 1 in 24.74 billion |
£50,000 | 9 | 1 in 10,994 million |
£25,000 | 17 | 1 in 5,820 million |
£10,000 | 42 | 1 in 2,356 million |
£5,000 | 86 | 1 in 1,150.61 million |
£1,000 | 1,648 | 1 in 60.04 million |
£500 | 4,944 | 1 in 20.01 million |
£100 | 26,795 | 1 in 3,692,939 |
£50 | 26,795 | 1 in 3,692,939 |
£25 | 2,807,840 | 1 in 35,241 |
Any prize | 2,868,182 | 1 in 34,500 |
Point Spread Probability Winning California Lottery
Source: NS&I
Could you increase your odds of winning?
We’ve now established that it’s hard for a single bond to win even a £25 prize, let alone any of the top awards.
So, what can you do to increase your chances of winning?
Point Spread Probability Winning Numbers
Live in the south of England is one often-trumpeted solution.
But there are only more winners down south because more people live there, and more of them hold Premium Bonds.
So, statistically, there are likely to be more winners from there.
For more demystifying check out: Premium Bonds: common myths busted and have a read about how the Premium Bond winners are chosen.
In fact, the only way you can boost your chances of winning more prizes is to simply buy more Premium Bonds, so don't believe anyone who claims to have a trick or secret strategy.
This is because each prize-winning Bond number is selected randomly by ERNIE (which stands for Electronic Random Number Indicator Equipment), so there is no way to beat the system.
Australia: A-League
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 08:10 | Sydney FC | 40% | 103/502.06 | 77/203.85 | 39/103.90 | 21% | Wellington Phoenix | HOME DNB |
Brazil: Serie A
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 23:00 | Botafogo RJ | 12% | 34/56.80 | 22/54.40 | 159/1001.59 | 53% | Gremio | AWAY DNB |
Chile: Primera Division
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 00:45 | Cobresal | 42% | 47/251.88 | 41/104.10 | 43/104.30 | 18% | Huachipato | HOME DNB |
Colombia: Primera A - Apertura
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 01:10 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 26% | 77/203.85 | 74/252.96 | 12/52.40 | 42% | Santa Fe | AWAY DNB |
Colombia: Primera B - Apertura
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 23:00 | Valledupar | 53% | 2.002.00 | 74/252.96 | 11/25.50 | 19% | Cartagena | HOME DNB |
Costa Rica: Primera Division - Clausura
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 21:00 | Limon | 33% | 66/252.64 | 63/203.15 | 72/252.88 | 30% | Zeledon | HOME DNB |
Croatia: 1. Hnl
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 17:00 | Slaven Belupo | 31% | 14/52.80 | 16/53.20 | 137/502.74 | 32% | Gorica | AVOID |
Point Spread Probability Winning
Denmark: Superliga
KICK OFF | HOME TEAM | % | HOME | DRAW | AWAY | % | AWAY TEAM | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TODAY 18:00 | Randers FC | 17% | 49/104.90 | 39/103.90 | 183/1001.83 | 46% | Midtjylland | AWAY DNB |
- Key for Predictions
- FAVOURITE Favourite Pick - Likely to Win
- MODERATE Moderate Chance - Decent Value Offered
- HOME DC Home Team - Double Chance Win/Draw (1X)
- HOME DNB Home Team - Draw No Bet (Void if Draw)
- HOME WEH Home Team - Win Either Half (Must Win 1st or 2nd Half)
- HOME CSN Home Team - Clean Sheet No (Away Team to Score Anytime)
- AWAY DC Away Team - Double Chance Win/Draw (X2)
- AWAY DNB Away Team - Draw No Bet (Void if Draw)
- AWAY WEH Away Team - Win Either Half (Must Win 1st or 2nd Half)
- AWAY CSN Away Team - Clean Sheet No (Home Team to Score Anytime)
- AVOID Odds are not worth the risk.